Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -148 UNCO +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -4.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.0 (-11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -4.2 (-1.2) | 150.8 (-1.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -2.6 (+0.4) | 149.8 (-0.8) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -5.1 (-2.1) | 155.3 (-6.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -4.6 (-1.6) | 151.6 (-2.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UNCO 90 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#136) | 0.9 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#127) | 0.22 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#120) | 0.22 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#137) | 0.502 (#172) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 55.4% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 12.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.8% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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