That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Big Sky Conference · Bank of Colorado Arena · January 17, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread UNCO -9.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money UNCO -500 / PRST +360
Model Predictions
Spread Total UNCO win
Actual UNCO +3 141 Won
Massey UNCO -11.3 (-8.3) — —
Massey Totals — 159.7 (-18.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 88% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 91% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UNCO -8.8 (-5.8) 150.6 (-9.6) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UNCO -7.5 (-4.5) 149.9 (-8.9) 80% ✓
Baseline Plus ML UNCO -9.6 (-6.6) 151.4 (-10.4) 80% ✓
Baseline ML UNCO -9.4 (-6.4) 151.6 (-10.6) 80% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 UNCO 77 – 65 PRST
Jan 16, 2026 PRST 76 – 73 UNCO
Feb 15, 2025 PRST 82 – 71 UNCO
Feb 16, 2024 PRST 82 – 72 UNCO
Jan 21, 2024 UNCO 90 – 61 PRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UNCO PRST
Overall 25-10 19-13
Conference 15-3 11-7
Home 13-2 13-1
Away 9-7 5-10
Neutral 3-1 1-2
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 79.4 71.8
Avg Pts Against 74.5 70.9
Massey 2.8 (#113) -4.7 (#248)
Bradley-Terry 0.90 (#97) -0.46 (#212)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.09 (#96) -0.47 (#203)
RPI 0.525 (#130) 0.451 (#262)
Shooting & Four Factors UNCO PRST
FG% 50.2% 45.2%
3PT% 33.4% 30.8%
REB / G 33.5 35.5
OREB / G 8.0 12.5
AST / TO 1.47 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 50.3%
TOV% 15.4% 20.2%
ORB% 24.9% 35.2%
FT Rate 20.5% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.5% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 19.9%
DRB% 76.9% 68.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.2% 26.7%

Game Analysis

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