Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | UNCO -500 PRST +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -11.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.7 (-18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -9.6 (-6.6) | 151.4 (-10.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UNCO -7.5 (-4.5) | 149.9 (-8.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | UNCO -8.8 (-5.8) | 150.6 (-9.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -9.4 (-6.4) | 151.6 (-10.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | UNCO 90 – 61 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-2 | 13-1 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#113) | -4.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#97) | -0.46 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#96) | -0.47 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.451 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 35.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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