Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 172.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -400 MILW +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +14 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -8.9 (+5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 178.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -6.8 (+7.2) | 168.4 (+7.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -4.5 (+9.5) | 164.9 (+11.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -6.9 (+7.1) | 167.0 (+9.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -6.4 (+7.6) | 166.7 (+9.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Dec 31, 2023 | MILW 91 – 83 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#153) | -4.5 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#207) | -0.48 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#200) | -1.01 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.491 (#189) | 0.479 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.7% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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