Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -135 MILW +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +16 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -1.6 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -1.0 (-17.0) | 147.7 (+26.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.8 (-15.2) | 145.1 (+28.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.6 (-16.6) | 147.0 (+27.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -0.6 (-16.6) | 149.1 (+24.9) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
| Dec 31, 2023 | MILW 91 – 83 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#170) | 1.2 (#144) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#195) | 0.43 (#133) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.02 (#174) | 0.66 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#176) | 0.539 (#101) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 14.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 40.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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