If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Horizon League · Nutter Center · January 23, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -2.5 Away covered
O/U 154.5 Over
Money WRST -135 / MILW +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual MILW +16 174 Lost
Massey WRST -1.6 (-17.6)
Massey Totals 151.5 (+22.5)
Bradley-Terry 51%
Weighted B-T 52%
Baseline Plus ML WRST -0.6 (-16.6) 147.0 (+27.0) 51%
Model 4 ML MILW -0.8 (-15.2) 145.1 (+28.9) 47%
Model 3 ML WRST -1.0 (-17.0) 147.7 (+26.3) 54%
Baseline ML WRST -0.6 (-16.6) 149.1 (+24.9) 51%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 31, 2026 WRST 7669 MILW
Jan 1, 2026 WRST 7670 MILW
Feb 15, 2025 MILW 8880 WRST
Jan 21, 2024 WRST 9581 MILW
Dec 31, 2023 MILW 9183 WRST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST MILW
Overall 15-18 21-11
Conference 8-12 14-6
Home 11-4 13-3
Away 3-12 7-8
Neutral 1-2 1-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 76.7
Avg Pts Against 77.5 72.5
Massey -0.6 (#170) 1.2 (#144)
Bradley-Terry -0.15 (#195) 0.43 (#133)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.02 (#174) 0.66 (#122)
RPI 0.503 (#176) 0.539 (#101)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST MILW
FG% 48.2% 45.8%
3PT% 38.1% 31.2%
REB / G 34.5 40.4
OREB / G 8.4 14.6
AST / TO 1.24 0.86
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.3% 50.7%
TOV% 16.8% 20.2%
ORB% 25.5% 40.6%
FT Rate 18.7% 25.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 50.4%
Opp TOV% 14.5% 17.9%
DRB% 73.9% 74.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.0% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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