Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | MILW +130 WRST -155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -3.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -1.9 (-5.1) | 148.4 (-3.4) | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -1.2 (-5.8) | 147.2 (-2.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.4 (-4.6) | 148.9 (-3.9) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.9 (-4.1) | 148.1 (-3.1) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
| Dec 31, 2023 | MILW 91 – 83 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#239) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.56 (#221) | 0.30 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#236) | 0.50 (#127) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#226) | 0.515 (#139) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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