Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 165.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +170 WRST -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 174 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -2.7 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -0.9 (+8.9) | 161.5 (+12.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -1.3 (+9.3) | 160.1 (+13.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -1.4 (+9.4) | 161.4 (+12.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -1.1 (+9.1) | 162.8 (+11.2) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | WRST 76 – 69 MILW |
| Jan 1, 2026 | WRST 76 – 70 MILW |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MILW 88 – 80 WRST |
| Jan 23, 2025 | MILW 95 – 79 WRST |
| Jan 21, 2024 | WRST 95 – 81 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 12-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | -0.2 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#266) | -0.40 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#304) | -0.20 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.453 (#259) | 0.486 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 56.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 61.8% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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