Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -200 WAG +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +5 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -4.0 (+1.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.0 (-4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.6 (+3.4) | 132.0 (-5.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.7 (+3.3) | 133.9 (-6.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (+3.4) | 132.5 (-5.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.9 (+3.1) | 134.1 (-7.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WAG 68 – 58 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#284) | -6.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#307) | -0.66 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#305) | -1.27 (#273) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#313) | 0.452 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 44.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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