Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -125 WAG +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.5 (-12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.4 (+8.6) | 135.3 (-14.3) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -1.1 (+10.1) | 132.8 (-11.8) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.4 (+8.6) | 135.2 (-14.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -0.1 (+9.1) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WAG 68 – 58 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#331) | -7.2 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.51 (#306) | -1.04 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#308) | -1.59 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#298) | 0.453 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 39.5% |
Game Analysis
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