Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | WAG -163 SHU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +10 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -5.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -3.3 (+6.7) | 133.6 (-7.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -5.5 (+4.5) | 130.9 (-4.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -3.4 (+6.6) | 134.2 (-8.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -3.4 (+6.6) | 135.2 (-9.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 8-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.3 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.3 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#291) | -8.8 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#286) | -1.22 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#299) | -1.68 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#291) | 0.437 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 74.8% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 40.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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