Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -225 WAG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +3 | 117 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -5.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -5.0 (-8.0) | 131.5 (-14.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.7 (-5.7) | 131.6 (-14.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -4.9 (-7.9) | 131.7 (-14.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.8 (-7.8) | 132.1 (-15.1) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WAG 68 – 58 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 62.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#281) | -8.5 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#302) | -1.65 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#306) | -2.25 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#286) | 0.432 (#308) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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