Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -110 WAG +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -0.7 (+11.3) | 129.6 (-7.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -1.7 (+13.7) | 129.6 (-7.6) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -0.2 (+11.8) | 132.2 (-10.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -0.1 (+11.9) | 131.9 (-9.9) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | SHU 63 – 53 WAG |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WAG 68 – 58 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#330) | -8.3 (#309) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.68 (#323) | -1.33 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#327) | -1.77 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#312) | 0.457 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 49.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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