Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | WAG -138 SHU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +10 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -4.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -2.3 (-12.3) | 132.5 (-16.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -2.8 (-12.8) | 131.5 (-15.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -2.1 (-12.1) | 133.7 (-17.7) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -3.1 (-13.1) | 134.1 (-18.1) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2024 | WAG 60 – 57 SHU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SHU 66 – 61 WAG |
| Mar 2, 2023 | SHU 67 – 55 WAG |
| Feb 3, 2023 | SHU 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 22, 2023 | WAG 68 – 58 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 7-5 | 11-5 |
| Away | 9-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.0 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -7.1 (#288) | -8.1 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#287) | -1.62 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.77 (#305) | -2.09 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#264) | 0.424 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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