Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -300 SIE +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +2 | 98 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -17.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.0 (-26.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -10.5 (-8.5) | 128.9 (-30.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -10.4 (-8.4) | 131.6 (-33.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -12.3 (-10.3) | 128.8 (-30.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -12.4 (-10.4) | 131.9 (-33.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-17 |
| Home | 9-4 | 2-12 |
| Away | 8-8 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 60.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.2 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#215) | -16.2 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#264) | -2.12 (#333) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#275) | -2.85 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#284) | 0.397 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 23.6% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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