Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SIE -118 MRST -102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +19 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -0.4 (+19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (-6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -0.3 (+19.3) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -0.2 (+19.2) | 127.0 (-8.0) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -1.0 (+20.0) | 125.4 (-6.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -0.4 (+19.4) | 127.6 (-8.6) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRST 50 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#191) | 2.2 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#201) | -0.07 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#202) | -0.10 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#203) | 0.509 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 44.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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