Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Over |
| Money | MRST -270 SIE +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +5 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -4.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -4.4 (+0.6) | 131.4 (+7.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -4.3 (+0.7) | 131.3 (+7.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -4.1 (+0.9) | 131.1 (+7.9) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -4.1 (+0.9) | 131.4 (+7.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRST 50 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-5 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#221) | -4.8 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#129) | -0.67 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#172) | -0.77 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#154) | 0.480 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.8% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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