Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -148 SIE +124 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIE +4 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -4.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -3.5 (-7.5) | 132.7 (-2.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -2.5 (-6.5) | 129.9 (+0.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -3.2 (-7.2) | 132.0 (-2.0) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -3.4 (-7.4) | 132.1 (-2.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRST 50 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.9 | 65.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#171) | -1.9 (#198) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#185) | -0.29 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#186) | -0.41 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#158) | 0.506 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | SIE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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