Betting Lines
| Spread | SIE -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | SIE -155 MRST +135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SIE -3.0 (-4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIE -0.2 (-1.2) | 132.6 (-3.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIE -1.4 (-2.4) | 130.9 (-1.9) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIE -1.4 (-2.4) | 131.9 (-2.9) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIE -1.1 (-2.1) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Feb 9, 2024 | MRST 67 – 51 SIE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRST 50 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 20-10 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 13-7 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-10 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 64.5 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#235) | -4.2 (#232) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#229) | 0.05 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#225) | -0.31 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#200) | 0.502 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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