Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | SIE +210 MRST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +16 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | MRST -9.9 (-6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -10.2 (-5.8) | 127.0 (-9.0) | 15% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -8.8 (-7.2) | 125.7 (-7.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -9.3 (-6.7) | 123.6 (-5.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -8.8 (-7.2) | 125.0 (-7.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SIE 67 – 63 MRST |
| Jan 23, 2026 | SIE 69 – 50 MRST |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MRST 65 – 64 SIE |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRST 72 – 67 SIE |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRST 50 – 48 SIE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 12-8 |
| Home | 2-12 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.4 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -16.9 (#359) | -3.7 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#352) | -0.85 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.35 (#350) | -1.15 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.398 (#334) | 0.450 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIE | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.3% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 24.6% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.