What ever happened to Leon Trotsky? "No More Heroes" - The Stranglers
Northeast Conference · Hammel Court · January 21, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread MRMK -12.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money MRMK -1000 / STO +550
Model Predictions
Spread Total MRMK win
Actual MRMK +16 110 Won
Massey MRMK -17.4 (-1.4)
Massey Totals 132.0 (-22.0)
Bradley-Terry 97%
Weighted B-T 99%
Efficiency Plus ML MRMK -12.3 (+3.7) 134.5 (-24.5) 86%
Baseline Tuned ML MRMK -12.7 (+3.3) 130.9 (-20.9) 87%
Baseline ML MRMK -12.6 (+3.4) 131.9 (-21.9) 86%
Baseline Plus ML MRMK -12.7 (+3.3) 132.6 (-22.6) 86%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 16, 2024 MRMK 6663 STO
Feb 10, 2023 MRMK 5643 STO
Jan 14, 2023 MRMK 5947 STO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MRMK STO
Overall 21-12 4-27
Conference 13-3 2-14
Home 13-2 4-8
Away 7-9 0-19
Neutral 1-1 0-0
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.8 63.5
Avg Pts Against 64.6 76.1
Massey -1.6 (#193) -15.3 (#354)
Bradley-Terry -0.59 (#232) -3.45 (#360)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.75 (#231) -4.27 (#360)
RPI 0.482 (#205) 0.380 (#348)
Shooting & Four Factors MRMK STO
FG% 42.9% 39.2%
3PT% 29.6% 31.2%
REB / G 29.6 32.5
OREB / G 7.0 8.2
AST / TO 0.89 0.78
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.1% 46.3%
TOV% 19.1% 19.7%
ORB% 21.1% 21.8%
FT Rate 24.6% 15.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 51.8%
Opp TOV% 22.5% 17.3%
DRB% 63.7% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.9% 23.1%

Game Analysis

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