Betting Lines
| Spread | STO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 124.5 Under |
| Money | STO -150 MRMK +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +12 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | STO -8.6 (-20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -6.7 (-18.7) | 129.6 (-23.6) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -5.2 (-17.2) | 129.8 (-23.8) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STO -5.7 (-17.7) | 129.4 (-23.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STO -5.1 (-17.1) | 128.8 (-22.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 63 STO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRMK 63 – 47 STO |
| Feb 10, 2023 | MRMK 56 – 43 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 12-4 |
| Home | 7-4 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#297) | -12.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#280) | -2.74 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#293) | -3.17 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.468 (#231) | 0.398 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 36.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 24.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 6.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 18.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 26.0% |
| DRB% | 68.0% | 59.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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