Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | STO +500 MRMK -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | MRMK -11.3 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -9.8 (+6.8) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -12.0 (+9.0) | 130.8 (-1.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -10.8 (+7.8) | 133.6 (-4.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -10.6 (+7.6) | 134.3 (-5.3) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRMK 63 – 47 STO |
| Feb 10, 2023 | MRMK 56 – 43 STO |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MRMK 59 – 47 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STO | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 2-14 | 13-3 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 0-19 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 64.6 |
| Massey | -15.8 (#356) | -1.1 (#184) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.30 (#358) | -0.31 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.95 (#359) | -0.51 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#353) | 0.503 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STO | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 22.5% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.