Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -175 STO +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +13 | 99 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -1.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 122.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.4 (+12.6) | 129.0 (-30.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STO -0.2 (+13.2) | 129.4 (-30.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.4 (+12.6) | 130.0 (-31.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -0.4 (+12.6) | 129.2 (-30.2) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2024 | MRMK 66 – 63 STO |
| Jan 21, 2024 | MRMK 63 – 47 STO |
| Jan 14, 2023 | MRMK 59 – 47 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 10-6 | 7-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | W11 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.0 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -10.9 (#339) | -8.9 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.85 (#331) | -1.19 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#327) | -1.74 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.431 (#304) | 0.470 (#239) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.5% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 25.9 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.3 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 17.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.2% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 62.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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