Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UTEP -133 WKU +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +6 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -0.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -0.1 (+5.9) | 145.0 (+35.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -0.1 (+5.9) | 139.9 (+40.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -0.2 (+6.2) | 140.5 (+39.5) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -0.1 (+5.9) | 144.1 (+35.9) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WKU 97 – 65 UTEP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | WKU 68 – 56 UTEP |
| Feb 28, 2025 | WKU 80 – 73 UTEP |
| Jan 31, 2025 | WKU 78 – 74 UTEP |
| Mar 17, 2024 | WKU 78 – 71 UTEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 13-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-9 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#230) | 0.6 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#234) | 0.55 (#128) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#232) | 0.53 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#265) | 0.524 (#132) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 22.5% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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