Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -700 BELL +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +12 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -8.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -8.5 (+3.5) | 142.5 (+9.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -7.1 (+4.9) | 141.5 (+10.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -7.1 (+4.9) | 141.9 (+10.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -7.6 (+4.4) | 143.3 (+8.7) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-10 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#232) | -8.8 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#252) | -2.56 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#253) | -2.69 (#333) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#229) | 0.413 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 16.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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