Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -245 BELL +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +20 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -3.9 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.6 (-0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -3.6 (+16.4) | 146.8 (+11.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -2.5 (+17.5) | 149.4 (+8.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -2.7 (+17.3) | 151.2 (+6.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -3.6 (+16.4) | 150.2 (+7.8) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EKU 82 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 8-7 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.5 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.1 | 83.3 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#267) | -7.1 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#271) | -1.69 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#277) | -2.17 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#235) | 0.428 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 49.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 27.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 6.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 20.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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