Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +320 EKU -425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -9.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -8.3 (+14.3) | 158.8 (-4.8) | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -8.7 (+14.7) | 156.1 (-2.1) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -8.2 (+14.2) | 157.5 (-3.5) | 19% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -8.1 (+14.1) | 159.3 (-5.3) | 21% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EKU 82 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-3 |
| Away | 0-16 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 75.9 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#347) | -0.9 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#360) | 0.04 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#357) | 0.22 (#154) |
| RPI | 0.346 (#363) | 0.504 (#174) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 20.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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