I like bread and butter. I like toast and jam. "Bread and Butter" - The Newbeats
Atlantic Sun Conference · Knights Hall · February 22, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread EKU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Over
Money BELL +110 / EKU -130
Model Predictions
Spread Total BELL win
Actual EKU +3 187 Lost
Massey BELL -2.9 (-5.9) — —
Massey Totals — 163.1 (+23.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 69% ✗
Baseline Plus ML BELL -2.9 (-5.9) 155.6 (+31.4) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BELL -2.0 (-5.0) 155.8 (+31.2) 59% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML BELL -2.4 (-5.4) 153.7 (+33.3) 62% ✗
Baseline ML BELL -2.5 (-5.5) 155.8 (+31.2) 63% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 18, 2026 EKU 89 – 69 BELL
Feb 20, 2025 BELL 80 – 74 EKU
Jan 19, 2025 EKU 72 – 69 BELL
Feb 18, 2024 EKU 75 – 65 BELL
Jan 21, 2024 EKU 82 – 70 BELL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BELL EKU
Overall 13-19 11-21
Conference 7-11 7-11
Home 10-5 8-7
Away 2-13 3-13
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 78.9 77.5
Avg Pts Against 83.3 83.1
Massey -7.3 (#282) -7.2 (#281)
Bradley-Terry -1.30 (#285) -1.41 (#294)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.60 (#279) -1.82 (#293)
RPI 0.434 (#309) 0.453 (#267)
Shooting & Four Factors BELL EKU
FG% 50.7% 42.7%
3PT% 37.8% 33.5%
REB / G 27.3 35.7
OREB / G 6.2 12.5
AST / TO 1.43 1.15
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 58.6% 51.1%
TOV% 15.6% 17.0%
ORB% 21.6% 32.7%
FT Rate 26.4% 21.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 59.2% 55.0%
Opp TOV% 15.2% 15.4%
DRB% 66.2% 68.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 28.3%

Game Analysis

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