Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +110 EKU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | BELL -2.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BELL -2.0 (-5.0) | 155.8 (+31.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -2.4 (-5.4) | 153.7 (+33.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -2.5 (-5.5) | 155.8 (+31.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BELL -2.9 (-5.9) | 155.6 (+31.4) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | EKU 72 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EKU 82 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.9 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.3 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#282) | -7.2 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#285) | -1.41 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#279) | -1.82 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#309) | 0.453 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.7% | 42.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 27.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 59.2% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.3% |
Game Analysis
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