Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -1600 BELL +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -15.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (-19.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -11.6 (-8.6) | 149.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -11.7 (-8.7) | 152.7 (-11.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -12.5 (-9.5) | 153.1 (-12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -12.0 (-9.0) | 153.0 (-12.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | EKU 95 – 92 BELL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | EKU 89 – 69 BELL |
| Feb 20, 2025 | BELL 80 – 74 EKU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | EKU 75 – 65 BELL |
| Jan 21, 2024 | EKU 82 – 70 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 2-16 |
| Home | 10-3 | 5-10 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#220) | -15.8 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#245) | -3.70 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#239) | -4.19 (#359) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#248) | 0.340 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 28.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 59.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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