Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 126.5 Under |
| Money | CSUB -500 CP +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +12 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | CSUB -9.3 (+2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.2 (-15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -6.1 (+5.9) | 135.6 (-17.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -7.2 (+4.8) | 132.3 (-14.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -6.7 (+5.3) | 133.5 (-15.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -6.0 (+6.0) | 133.0 (-15.0) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 0-20 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 2-13 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 74.5 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#266) | -11.0 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#298) | -1.73 (#319) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#297) | -2.28 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#322) | 0.392 (#338) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 24.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 65.5% | 65.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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