Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | CSUB +102 CP -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +25 | 183 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -0.3 (-25.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.5 (+16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -0.4 (-25.4) | 154.7 (+28.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -0.2 (-25.2) | 155.7 (+27.3) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -1.4 (-26.4) | 156.9 (+26.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -0.7 (-25.7) | 156.1 (+26.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
| Jan 21, 2024 | CSUB 65 – 53 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 10-10 |
| Home | 6-11 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-13 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 81.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 85.3 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#311) | -7.2 (#274) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#262) | -1.02 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#289) | -1.42 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#305) | 0.449 (#263) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUB | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.6% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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