Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUB -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
| Money | CP +210 CSUB -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUB +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | CSUB -5.3 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSUB -5.8 (-6.2) | 135.0 (-11.0) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSUB -5.3 (-6.7) | 134.2 (-10.2) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSUB -5.7 (-6.3) | 133.8 (-9.8) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSUB -5.8 (-6.2) | 134.7 (-10.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CP 98 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Jan 21, 2024 | CSUB 65 – 53 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 8-12 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 0-16 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L20 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#335) | -3.8 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.37 (#343) | -0.75 (#257) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.92 (#343) | -0.84 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#357) | 0.441 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.2% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 33.4% |
Game Analysis
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