Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | CP -165 CSUB +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +26 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | CP -3.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -2.7 (+23.3) | 157.9 (+12.1) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CP -1.5 (+24.5) | 156.8 (+13.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -2.5 (+23.5) | 158.5 (+11.5) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -2.6 (+23.4) | 160.6 (+9.4) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | CP 108 – 76 CSUB |
| Jan 30, 2026 | CP 104 – 79 CSUB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | CP 90 – 81 CSUB |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CSUB 68 – 56 CP |
| Jan 21, 2024 | CSUB 65 – 53 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.4 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#217) | -3.9 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#202) | -0.54 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#205) | -0.67 (#218) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#237) | 0.457 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 38.0% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 35.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.