Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -800 ULM +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +7 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -9.8 (-16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+12.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -8.4 (-15.4) | 140.2 (+12.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -7.3 (-14.3) | 139.1 (+13.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -6.5 (-13.5) | 139.8 (+13.2) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -7.5 (-14.5) | 142.6 (+10.4) | 75% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | ODU 87 – 80 ULM |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ULM 85 – 79 ODU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | ODU 80 – 75 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 6-12 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-6 |
| Away | 1-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#262) | -11.0 (#327) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.27 (#287) | -2.43 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.33 (#277) | -2.81 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#299) | 0.410 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 37.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 23.6% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 41.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 29.5% |
Game Analysis
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