Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -130 ODU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -7.4 (-12.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ULM -3.8 (-8.8) | 142.0 (+13.0) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ULM -3.9 (-8.9) | 139.9 (+15.1) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -3.7 (-8.7) | 141.5 (+13.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -3.2 (-8.2) | 143.2 (+11.8) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | ODU 87 – 80 ULM |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ULM 85 – 79 ODU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ULM 80 – 73 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Away | 2-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#338) | -14.4 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.87 (#350) | -2.52 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.72 (#348) | -2.77 (#332) |
| RPI | 0.350 (#355) | 0.385 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 14.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.0% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 65.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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