Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -1350 ULM +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ULM +6 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | ODU -14.4 (-20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.2 (+4.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -11.0 (-17.0) | 154.8 (+9.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -11.5 (-17.5) | 149.7 (+14.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -11.6 (-17.6) | 150.7 (+13.3) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -11.6 (-17.6) | 152.3 (+11.7) | 84% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | ODU 87 – 80 ULM |
| Dec 21, 2024 | ODU 80 – 75 ULM |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ULM 80 – 73 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-14 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 85.4 |
| Massey | -5.4 (#248) | -16.8 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#258) | -4.21 (#364) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#268) | -5.42 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#220) | 0.356 (#362) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 64.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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