Betting Lines
| Spread | ODU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | ODU -600 ULM +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | ODU -11.2 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ODU -10.7 (-3.7) | 155.6 (+11.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ODU -11.4 (-4.4) | 153.2 (+13.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ODU -11.5 (-4.5) | 152.4 (+14.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ODU -11.3 (-4.3) | 155.3 (+11.7) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | ULM 85 – 79 ODU |
| Dec 21, 2024 | ODU 80 – 75 ULM |
| Jan 21, 2024 | ULM 80 – 73 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 1-17 |
| Home | 7-6 | 3-10 |
| Away | 4-14 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 85.4 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#246) | -16.1 (#352) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.94 (#254) | -3.37 (#360) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#255) | -4.16 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#246) | 0.371 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | ULM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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