Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -115 IONA -111 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +4 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -2.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+31.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.4 (+2.6) | 143.7 (+34.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.3 (+2.7) | 143.7 (+34.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -2.0 (+2.0) | 142.5 (+35.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.5 (+2.5) | 142.5 (+35.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 10-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 10-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 70.6 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#199) | -0.4 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#132) | -0.54 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#150) | -0.17 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#153) | 0.478 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
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