Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | IONA +100 QUIN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +1 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -0.9 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.6 (+0.6) | 139.6 (-14.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -1.5 (+0.5) | 138.5 (-13.5) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.5 (+0.5) | 136.8 (-11.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.2 (+0.2) | 135.9 (-10.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | QUIN 91 – 87 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 12-2 |
| Away | 7-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#300) | -3.2 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#282) | -0.23 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.70 (#294) | -0.31 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#287) | 0.507 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 26.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.4 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.69 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 41.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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