Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -162 QUIN +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +21 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -9.3 (-30.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.4 (-25.4) | 162.0 (-5.0) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -5.3 (-26.3) | 156.0 (+1.0) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -5.6 (-26.6) | 157.4 (-0.4) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -5.0 (-26.0) | 159.3 (-2.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | QUIN 91 – 87 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#126) | -1.0 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#144) | 1.15 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#144) | 1.47 (#101) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#164) | 0.547 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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