Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -200 IONA +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | QUIN -3.4 (-11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -1.6 (-9.6) | 142.8 (+11.2) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -2.5 (-10.5) | 143.9 (+10.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -1.7 (-9.7) | 141.7 (+12.3) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -1.8 (-9.8) | 142.4 (+11.6) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | QUIN 91 – 87 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#205) | -5.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#174) | -0.72 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#178) | -1.07 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#103) | 0.480 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 33.5% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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