Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | IONA -175 QUIN +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +18 | 146 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -4.1 (-22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -3.4 (-21.4) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.6 (-22.6) | 145.4 (+0.6) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -2.9 (-20.9) | 145.8 (+0.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -2.5 (-20.5) | 146.5 (-0.5) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | QUIN 91 – 87 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#183) | -2.2 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#242) | 0.05 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#226) | -0.30 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#197) | 0.518 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.1% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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