Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -275 IONA +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +5 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -8.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -6.6 (-1.6) | 144.5 (+8.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -6.9 (-1.9) | 145.2 (+7.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -6.9 (-1.9) | 144.7 (+8.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -6.7 (-1.7) | 145.8 (+7.2) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | QUIN 91 – 87 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-8 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | -7.2 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#187) | -0.91 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#174) | -1.32 (#271) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#134) | 0.458 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 38.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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