Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -700 PORT +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +15 | 187 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -15.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.6 (+35.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.8 (+2.2) | 148.3 (+38.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -11.0 (+4.0) | 147.4 (+39.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -12.3 (+2.7) | 147.5 (+39.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -11.6 (+3.4) | 147.3 (+39.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SCU 92 – 85 PORT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SCU 97 – 50 PORT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | PORT 80 – 75 SCU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SCU 103 – 84 PORT |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SCU 91 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#117) | -8.7 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#94) | -1.00 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#102) | -1.16 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#113) | 0.455 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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