Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +700 SCU -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +7 | 177 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -11.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -12.0 (+5.0) | 148.2 (+28.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -9.9 (+2.9) | 147.9 (+29.1) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -9.8 (+2.8) | 148.4 (+28.6) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.0 (+5.0) | 148.3 (+28.7) | 17% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2025 | SCU 97 – 50 PORT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | PORT 80 – 75 SCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SCU 101 – 86 PORT |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SCU 103 – 84 PORT |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SCU 91 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 82.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 73.5 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#244) | 10.4 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#199) | 1.71 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#172) | 2.86 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#240) | 0.604 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 40.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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