And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
Portland Pilots
50 – 97
FINAL Conference
Santa Clara Broncos
West Coast Conference · Chiles Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money PORT +800 / SCU -1600
Model Predictions
Spread Total PORT win
Actual SCU +47 147 Lost
Massey SCU -16.2 (-30.8) — —
Massey Totals — 158.7 (-11.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 10% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 5% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SCU -15.4 (-31.6) 155.5 (-8.5) 15% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -14.9 (-32.1) 159.3 (-12.3) 14% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -14.3 (-32.7) 155.3 (-8.3) 14% ✓
Baseline ML SCU -15.9 (-31.1) 156.0 (-9.0) 15% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 31, 2025 SCU 92 – 85 PORT
Mar 1, 2024 PORT 80 – 75 SCU
Jan 21, 2024 SCU 101 – 86 PORT
Feb 19, 2023 SCU 103 – 84 PORT
Mar 6, 2022 SCU 91 – 67 PORT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PORT SCU
Overall 12-20 21-13
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 9-7 12-5
Away 3-9 6-5
Neutral 0-4 3-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.7 81.9
Avg Pts Against 81.2 73.0
Massey -9.6 (#317) 9.8 (#60)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#292) 1.37 (#72)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.80 (#298) 1.77 (#72)
RPI 0.432 (#294) 0.563 (#66)
Shooting & Four Factors PORT SCU
FG% 41.6% 46.4%
3PT% 32.5% 35.5%
REB / G 33.5 37.6
OREB / G 8.7 11.6
AST / TO 1.04 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 54.6%
TOV% 19.5% 17.4%
ORB% 24.8% 33.4%
FT Rate 26.8% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 17.0%
DRB% 69.9% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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