But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed
Portland Pilots
50 97
FINAL Conference
Santa Clara Broncos
West Coast Conference · Chiles Center · February 7, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -13.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money PORT +800 / SCU -1600
Model Predictions
Spread Total PORT win
Actual SCU +47 147 Lost
Massey SCU -16.2 (-30.8)
Massey Totals 158.7 (-11.7)
Bradley-Terry 10%
Weighted B-T 5%
Efficiency Plus ML SCU -14.9 (-32.1) 159.3 (-12.3) 14%
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -14.3 (-32.7) 155.3 (-8.3) 14%
Baseline ML SCU -15.9 (-31.1) 156.0 (-9.0) 15%
Baseline Plus ML SCU -15.4 (-31.6) 155.5 (-8.5) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 31, 2025 SCU 9285 PORT
Mar 1, 2024 PORT 8075 SCU
Jan 21, 2024 SCU 10186 PORT
Feb 19, 2023 SCU 10384 PORT
Mar 6, 2022 SCU 9167 PORT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PORT SCU
Overall 12-20 21-13
Conference 7-11 12-6
Home 9-7 12-5
Away 3-9 6-5
Neutral 0-4 3-3
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 71.7 81.9
Avg Pts Against 81.2 73.0
Massey -9.6 (#317) 9.8 (#60)
Bradley-Terry -1.39 (#292) 1.37 (#72)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.80 (#298) 1.77 (#72)
RPI 0.432 (#294) 0.563 (#66)
Shooting & Four Factors PORT SCU
FG% 41.6% 46.4%
3PT% 32.5% 35.5%
REB / G 33.5 37.6
OREB / G 8.7 11.6
AST / TO 1.04 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.8% 54.6%
TOV% 19.5% 17.4%
ORB% 24.8% 33.4%
FT Rate 26.8% 21.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.0% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 13.3% 17.0%
DRB% 69.9% 71.2%
Opp FT Rate 16.9% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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