I'm gonna tell you how it's gonna be. "Not Fade Away"-The Rolling Stones
Portland Pilots
80 – 75 OT
FINAL Conference
Santa Clara Broncos
West Coast Conference · Chiles Center · March 1, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -9.5 Home covered
O/U 156.5 Under
Money PORT +333 / SCU -500
Model Predictions
Spread Total PORT win
Actual PORT +5 155 Won
Massey SCU -10.5 (+15.5) — —
Massey Totals — 153.5 (+1.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 19% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 16% ✗
Baseline Plus ML SCU -9.2 (+14.2) 150.1 (+4.9) 18% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SCU -9.9 (+14.9) 149.8 (+5.2) 22% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML SCU -10.3 (+15.3) 149.6 (+5.4) 17% ✗
Baseline ML SCU -9.5 (+14.5) 149.7 (+5.3) 19% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 31, 2025 SCU 92 – 85 PORT
Feb 7, 2025 SCU 97 – 50 PORT
Jan 21, 2024 SCU 101 – 86 PORT
Feb 19, 2023 SCU 103 – 84 PORT
Mar 6, 2022 SCU 91 – 67 PORT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PORT SCU
Overall 12-21 20-13
Conference 5-11 10-6
Home 9-6 11-4
Away 2-11 5-6
Neutral 1-4 4-3
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 69.8 76.0
Avg Pts Against 79.5 72.3
Massey -9.5 (#316) 4.3 (#112)
Bradley-Terry -1.11 (#285) 0.96 (#103)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.28 (#284) 1.10 (#107)
RPI 0.448 (#281) 0.531 (#118)
Shooting & Four Factors PORT SCU
FG% 42.6% 45.9%
3PT% 33.2% 34.8%
REB / G 32.7 38.8
OREB / G 8.3 11.9
AST / TO 1.04 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 52.7%
TOV% 17.6% 18.6%
ORB% 23.5% 34.6%
FT Rate 23.2% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 55.9% 48.0%
Opp TOV% 13.7% 14.3%
DRB% 70.8% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 17.1% 24.2%

Game Analysis

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