Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +24 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -8.3 (+15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.6 (+14.4) | 155.7 (+2.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -9.2 (+14.8) | 156.1 (+1.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.2 (+15.8) | 155.8 (+2.2) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -8.4 (+15.6) | 156.9 (+1.1) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SCU 92 – 85 PORT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SCU 97 – 50 PORT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | PORT 80 – 75 SCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SCU 101 – 86 PORT |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SCU 103 – 84 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 14-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#77) | -0.7 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#74) | 0.23 (#154) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.77 (#73) | 0.21 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#80) | 0.506 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.0% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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