Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +110 SCU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +19 | 187 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -1.6 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (+30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -2.7 (-16.3) | 157.4 (+29.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -2.5 (-16.5) | 155.9 (+31.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -1.8 (-17.2) | 156.2 (+30.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -2.0 (-17.0) | 158.6 (+28.4) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2025 | SCU 92 – 85 PORT |
| Feb 7, 2025 | SCU 97 – 50 PORT |
| Mar 1, 2024 | PORT 80 – 75 SCU |
| Jan 21, 2024 | SCU 101 – 86 PORT |
| Mar 6, 2022 | SCU 91 – 67 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 23-10 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 73.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#156) | 5.9 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#177) | 1.55 (#58) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#155) | 1.95 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#219) | 0.563 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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