Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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85–41 on winners spread MAE 8.8 126 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Saint Joseph's +0.4 144.1 48% 78–69 ✗
Providence @ Villanova +7.8 141.3 79% 73–75 ✓
Robert Morris @ Green Bay -3.4 145.4 33% 89–67 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +7.2 150.8 74% 77–76 ✗
DePaul @ Georgetown +7.8 141.9 80% 73–68 ✗
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee +4.4 141.2 71% 64–79 ✓
Iowa @ UCLA +5.8 147.7 76% 70–94 ✓
Air Force @ Fresno State +3.0 138.9 65% 65–74 ✓
Boise State @ New Mexico +2.3 147.3 66% 65–84 ✓
Alabama @ Kentucky +2.5 182.3 55% 102–97 ✗
Houston @ UCF -11.9 136.8 13% 69–68 ✓
Creighton @ UConn +8.4 143.1 75% 68–63 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Florida State +9.3 148.1 82% 78–91 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville +11.7 134.8 86% 67–81 ✓
Clemson @ Pittsburgh +4.6 140.1 68% 78–75 ✗
Boston University @ Army +1.2 134.9 65% 62–68 ✓
George Washington @ George Mason +8.7 136.5 83% 77–80 ✓
Auburn @ Georgia -5.6 142.8 21% 70–68 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +15.0 141.8 88% 74–84 ✓
American University @ Holy Cross +1.3 135.5 51% 74–65 ✗
Colgate @ Lafayette -0.6 134.0 43% 90–67 ✓
Mercyhurst @ Wagner +1.9 123.4 41% 69–65 ✗
Maine @ UMBC -1.0 146.3 36% 87–62 ✓
Oakland @ Detroit Mercy -8.0 133.6 20% 65–59 ✓
VMI @ The Citadel -2.3 133.0 35% 75–70 ✓
Buffalo @ Western Michigan +7.9 151.3 78% 85–76 ✗
Xavier @ Marquette +10.1 147.7 81% 59–57 ✗
Winthrop @ UNC Asheville +2.1 165.3 66% 84–93 ✓
Radford @ Charleston Southern -3.9 142.3 42% 54–58 ✗
Niagara @ Manhattan +3.2 144.7 62% 65–72 ✓
Arizona State @ Cincinnati +7.3 132.8 74% 60–67 ✓
Arizona @ Texas Tech +3.3 147.2 62% 54–70 ✓
SMU @ Miami -7.8 156.8 22% 117–74 ✓
Wake Forest @ Virginia Tech -1.9 136.2 36% 72–63 ✓
St. Bonaventure @ Duquesne -1.0 132.0 48% 57–75 ✗
Davidson @ Rhode Island +2.7 142.9 68% 90–92 ✓
Belmont @ Evansville -5.7 141.8 25% 85–82 ✓
Saint Francis @ Long Island University +4.4 133.9 71% 51–64 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Lehigh +3.2 138.4 64% 76–60 ✗
Yale @ Columbia -4.3 149.9 24% 92–88 ✓
Harvard @ Brown +4.8 138.5 67% 80–67 ✗
Cornell @ Pennsylvania -8.7 153.3 22% 86–76 ✓
Princeton @ Dartmouth -5.5 147.3 29% 81–80 ✓
UAlbany @ Binghamton -0.5 142.1 39% 70–65 ✓
Wright State @ Northern Kentucky +0.4 137.6 58% 78–70 ✗
Elon @ Delaware -1.8 147.9 51% 77–79 ✗
Monmouth @ Campbell +1.9 135.8 60% 58–81 ✓
Stony Brook @ Towson +9.6 132.7 83% 49–53 ✓
North Alabama @ North Florida -2.0 158.4 39% 90–84 ✓
Queens University @ Florida Gulf Coast +3.6 144.7 64% 47–60 ✓
Kansas City @ North Dakota +0.5 141.4 51% 72–76 ✓
Toledo @ Ball State -0.1 150.7 51% 93–75 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Bowling Green +4.9 149.7 72% 68–62 ✗
Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois -9.6 138.6 17% 71–66 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Sacred Heart +0.4 130.1 48% 66–61 ✗
Canisius @ Fairfield +7.7 141.2 73% 78–67 ✗
UTEP @ Florida International -1.8 141.6 44% 81–73 ✓
Stanford @ North Carolina +10.9 151.7 84% 72–71 ✗
Le Moyne @ Chicago State -2.2 143.5 42% 72–88 ✗
Saint Louis @ Richmond -0.7 139.5 45% 63–59 ✓
Purdue @ Oregon +2.5 143.1 46% 65–58 ✗
Wisconsin @ USC -1.3 146.8 38% 84–69 ✓
Colorado @ Oklahoma State -0.0 139.2 59% 73–83 ✗
Tulsa @ South Florida +8.9 148.9 81% 56–63 ✓
New Hampshire @ NJIT -0.7 131.1 52% 59–64 ✗
Louisiana @ UL Monroe -1.2 139.0 37% 65–60 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Jacksonville +11.2 141.3 84% 62–72 ✓
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -3.4 164.6 41% 103–77 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Western Carolina -11.5 138.1 16% 83–55 ✓
Miami (OH) @ Kent State +3.4 138.1 60% 70–61 ✗
Siena @ Merrimack +4.9 132.3 76% 58–64 ✓
Tennessee @ Vanderbilt -3.0 135.5 43% 75–76 ✗
Georgia State @ Arkansas State +13.7 152.2 87% 59–85 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Old Dominion +1.4 146.3 52% 67–63 ✗
Lindenwood @ Morehead State +7.2 135.7 79% 65–82 ✓
New Orleans @ East Texas A&M +2.9 141.3 64% 82–73 ✗
Marshall @ Coastal Carolina -4.4 137.4 27% 77–64 ✓
Texas @ Florida +11.5 149.6 84% 60–84 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Gardner-Webb +9.1 153.5 83% 68–97 ✓
North Texas @ UTSA -8.3 136.4 17% 72–57 ✓
Notre Dame @ Syracuse -0.8 145.0 49% 69–77 ✗
Loyola Chicago @ Dayton +10.6 139.4 85% 81–83 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso -1.6 151.9 43% 81–74 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State -1.7 140.7 43% 74–61 ✓
Colorado State @ Wyoming -3.4 132.7 33% 79–63 ✓
West Georgia @ Stetson -0.2 144.5 45% 78–82 ✗
Navy @ Bucknell +4.8 143.0 70% 69–73 ✓
Central Connecticut @ Fairleigh Dickinson -3.5 137.1 36% 71–60 ✓
UMass Lowell @ Bryant +3.8 156.2 70% 62–85 ✓
App State @ James Madison +3.1 130.6 59% 58–50 ✗
Troy @ South Alabama +2.1 131.8 64% 63–64 ✓
UC Davis @ UC Santa Barbara +7.3 132.7 75% 64–60 ✗
South Carolina @ Oklahoma +7.0 139.8 78% 62–82 ✓
Utah Tech @ Utah Valley +9.8 141.3 85% 80–96 ✓
Quinnipiac @ Mount St. Mary's +0.3 140.1 53% 91–57 ✗
Little Rock @ Tennessee Tech -0.5 137.4 42% 77–71 ✓
Stephen F. Austin @ Nicholls +4.1 133.5 70% 61–73 ✓
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Houston Christian -1.9 144.6 46% 57–66 ✗
Western Illinois @ Southern Indiana +2.2 135.7 56% 66–78 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ UT Martin +1.3 136.9 58% 82–85 ✓
Eastern Illinois @ Tennessee State +4.5 143.4 70% 65–84 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Northwestern State +0.7 134.8 50% 65–64 ✗
Iowa State @ West Virginia -4.1 136.6 39% 57–64 ✗
Missouri State @ Illinois State +8.1 137.6 83% 68–74 ✓
Lamar @ McNeese +13.5 135.1 86% 64–75 ✓
Southern Miss @ Texas State +7.9 147.1 80% 82–85 ✓
Northeastern @ Charleston +7.4 145.9 80% 85–87 ✓
Chattanooga @ Furman +6.0 146.9 73% 75–71 ✗
Sam Houston @ Jacksonville State +3.3 145.5 68% 62–70 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Kennesaw State -0.3 142.7 54% 76–78 ✗
Oral Roberts @ South Dakota State +15.2 159.8 90% 70–84 ✓
Jackson State @ Prairie View A&M +0.3 149.6 43% 79–70 ✗
Mississippi Valley State @ Bethune-Cookman +20.5 134.2 90% 58–83 ✓
Alabama State @ Alabama A&M -6.3 150.1 24% 69–65 ✓
Ole Miss @ Mississippi State +5.3 142.5 75% 81–84 ✓
California @ NC State +6.1 139.6 75% 65–62 ✗
Drake @ Indiana State -7.1 135.5 19% 71–53 ✓
San José State @ Nevada +13.6 135.8 88% 64–75 ✓
Grambling @ Southern +8.6 132.8 76% 60–67 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Incarnate Word -2.9 146.5 34% 69–63 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri +5.0 146.8 78% 65–83 ✓
Portland @ Washington State +18.0 154.9 90% 70–92 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +7.8 148.8 73% 49–69 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Samford +6.3 148.6 76% 65–60 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Florida A&M +9.9 154.2 85% 76–86 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +3.0 136.9 60% 57–66 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.