Betting Lines
| Spread | BRY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | BRY -195 UML +165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | BRY -5.3 (+17.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRY -3.8 (+19.2) | 156.2 (-9.2) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -3.9 (+19.1) | 154.9 (-7.9) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRY -3.6 (+19.4) | 155.6 (-8.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -3.1 (+19.9) | 156.3 (-9.3) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | UML 88 – 69 BRY |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UML 77 – 63 BRY |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BRY 79 – 78 UML |
| Mar 12, 2024 | UML 77 – 70 BRY |
| Feb 29, 2024 | UML 89 – 67 BRY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#174) | -2.7 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#209) | 0.38 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#181) | 0.55 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#182) | 0.520 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | UML |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 31.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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